Tuesday, October 28, 2008

The New Season is Here! The New Season is Here!

With the new season upon us, it's time to move ahead, wash away memories of last season and start anew. With these new changes comes a little different format. Beyond just writing more, I will be going back and forth with my best basketball buddy on the planet, John. We will co-write some pieces, have our own posts, or just respond to one another. If anything, it will be fun to actually print some of the discussions we have over cocktails. In this post, I will give my predictions on various awards and champs and John will respond with his thoughts as well. Let the discussions and season begin! FINALLY!

Lets start out with some seeding predictions for the East and West.

West

1. Lake Show - While I hate to do this with an admitted bias, I must. They all seemed to gel well and with less pressure on Kobe and a healthy Bynum back, they should be really tough to beat. The only thing that could come back to haunt them is the hectic schedule Kobe has been playing with. He's too proud to sit and his body may be feeling it come April.

2. Hornets - This team needs health to survive and potentially win it all but what team doesn't? CP3 will only be better which is scary, Chandler and Wright should continue to improve and the addition of Posey provides insurance if Peja somehow hurts his back due to too much hair gel.

3. Jazz - The Jazz should be playing sweet Jazz flute ala Ron Burgondy. Williams and Boozer will still be a force but they have great depth with a healthy and fit Okur, an improving Ronnie Brewer and the junk man AK47.

4. Rockets - This is a team that will show flashes early but injuries will haunt them in the end. Artest may stay healthy physically, not mentally, but that doesn't mean that T Mac and Yao will still be there with him. At some point they will be proclaimed the best team in all the land and they will fade come playoff time due to the injuries I referenced. Also expect 1,000,000 references to the "Big 3" this year.

5. Spurs - They will go through some pains without Manu for sure but Pop and this smart bunch always find a way. They will cruise and turn it on come March like they always do.

6. Suns - This is another team that will struggle initially with a new style of play and personnel. Age can always be a factor but added depth and a coach that uses a bench will help these worries.

7. Blazers - This years sexy pick. Everybody and their mama has the Blazers being successful with their uber talented young core. They will have ups and downs but they will end up being somewhere in the middle as they learn more about the game and their team in general.

8. Dallas - They have slipped a lot and they regret the Devin Harris trade no matter what they say but they still have a lot of talent and Diop is back to help secure a weak defensive front line.

East

1. Boston - I don't expect a slip with KG and Paul Pierce around. They will be pushed nightly but they still have the "Big 3", I even said it, but they have depth even without Posey around. Losing him could hurt come playoff time but they will still own the regular season.

2. Philly - Take a good up and coming team and drop one of the best post players in the league on their roster and you get a much improved squad. They are a bit of a sexy pick this year too but it is hard to overlook their abundance of young talent ala Portland.

3. Detroit - This is a team that will struggle initially to find an identity. A new coach and new roles within the team will cause a little chaos, even for a team that knows one another so well. Just wait for a Chauncey Billups/Rodney Stuckey starting conversation come March. Just you wait...

4. Cleveland - Williams will help but Lebron will continue to run wild. If his Olympic play is an indication of things to come, watch out. This could be the season that not only makes him memorable but legendary.

5. Orlando - This team is still lean on point guards but Dwight Howard is still a force of nature.

6. Toronto - I expect a solid season from JO and an All-Star season from Chris Bosh and Calderon. They seem hungry and if Bargnani plays up to his potential, could be scary come playoff time.

7. Atlanta - This is a hit or miss pick. They will either play to their potential or injuries will catch up with Bibby and Speedy again and they will sorely miss the bench production of Childress.

8. Bulls - They will have a fun open style with Vinny in house and it should be fun to watch players like Rose, Thomas and Noah grow. Kirk should have a great year and I expect a big bounce back from Deng.

Champ??

I hate to admit it but I think that this is LA's year. If they stay healthy, there is no reason that they shouldn't be able to hang with any team on any given night. Kobe could fade and make this tough but he should have enough around him to help ease that burden.

Awards

MVP - This is Lebron's year all the way. He will put up 30, 7, and 7 and play much improved defense. If he gets rolling, the Cavs could be really tough to beat come playoff time.

Defensive Player of the Year - I am going out on a limb and picking a wild card here. I think Josh Smith takes it this year. If Atlanta makes the playoffs again and he puts up his insane numbers per the norm, he has to be in this discussion. He is a force when motivated.

Sixth Man - I am going out on a limb and taking Louis Williams here. He will put up big numbers off the bench in Philly and I see them as a top tier team in the East this season. All he needs is eyes on him when he plays which he will have now.

Most Improved Player - Andrew Bynum will walk away with this. He will be healthy and motivated on a very good team. This is his to lose.

Coach of the Year - This always seems to go to the coach that has a team that improves the most. Congrats Maurice Cheeks!

Rookie of the Year - I wouldn't normally go with a point guard but I think Rose will get the time and enough points to win this award and take it from Mike "Be Easy" Beasley.

2 comments:

Palka said...

As the new season approaches, I was left with one question, what has changed?

From this perspective, we head into 08-09 with much of the same.

While Andrew Bynum showed some signs of being a dominant player last season, I do not see him as a deciding factor in pushing LA over the top. The hill in front of them... well... let me amend that, the mountain that is Kobe Bryant's EGO that impedes their path is not going anywhere.

It is funny, last year, even as a die hard Suns fan, I loved Kobe's game, truth be told, I always have. Somewhere along the line, it may have been when I realized I lost my bet with Aaron in the finals, it clicked, he is a horrendous leader, the worst kind. For all of his trials and tribulations, experience, talent, etc - for all of his skill and unmatched competitive drive - he has proven to be immature when it matters most. From pouting against the Suns in a memorable game 7, to arrogantly falling in love with "bunnies" and refusing to work the paint in the NBA Finals, he quits. And a true leader will never quit. Kobe not only lost the crown of best player in the league, in my eyes he has shaped his legacy as a me-first nba star. Mea Culpa... it was my fault in falling into a myopic haze, admiring his grace and skill. Regardless, lesson learned. Moving on. Bynum may join a talented but crowded front line, but it is still Kobe's show. And that is a one man performance, an act we will never see change, as no one will ever be bigger than Kobe. Shaq moved on, Zen neutered, Kupchak conceded the keys to the kingdom.

Ooops.

Excuse the rant, but let us not fall into the trap... Everyone and their mother is wrong. This is not LA's year, it will not ever be LA's year, not so long as Kobe sits at the thrown.

So where does that leave us? It is an odd year for one. Does Manu being banged up affect the SA cruise control capability? I doubt it. I look for the Spurs to revive their competitive blood once more, just as I do Detroit.

Michael Curry will have a deep Pistons squad invigorated. That team is loaded 9 deep, has great leadership balanced with young athleticism, all working hard. I see them making a memorable run this season, whether or not they can get past Boston remains to be seen.

The team making their first run this season will be the New Orleans Hornets. Chris Paul is in a league of his own, and is the best team player shorter than Kevin Garnett. Only Steve Nash can bring his surrounding cast up as Paul can, and I see that taken even further this season. He will be accustomed to the pressure and bright lights of the playoffs, and with the help of a couple favorable matchups, may find himself playing under the brightest of them all.

Full circle however, brings us back to the original question...

What has changed?

Not much.

No one in the league has improved enough to match the night in night out team effort of the Boston Celtics. Lead by Garnett and Paul Pierce, who has put himself in the discussion of the leagues best, Boston plays the game as it should be, beautifully, with effort on both sides of the floor, and without the slightest hint of selfish play.

While Kobe wets the bed and Lebron polishes his image of a global icon, we will be reminded once more by Boston, that basketball is most beautiful when it is played as a team.

I can not wait for it... T-Minus 2 hours...

And now for some predictions...

Eastern Conference (Regular Season)
1 Detroit - they will be energized and hungry... still enough in the tank... did i say hungry maxiell eats his way past amir.
2 Boston - a bit more on cruise control... each team in their division improved... eddie house dislocates shoulder doing the worm
3 Orlando - horrible division... howard goes off... jj finally becomes an allstar and erases the duke curse
4 Phili - they will click in the second half and go off on a torrid stretch... andre miller is the most underrated player in the game.
5 Cleveland - mo helps... still a one man show... lebron is a global dick (congrats, nice suit), i concede he is the best physical specimen ever to lace shoes in any sport... go work on that turn around.
6 Miami - they will be back... on pace to win 70 until marion and beasly are busted with a bong...
7 Chicago - too much talent not to make the playoffs... rose is legit... vinny d becomes first coach to sport a "wife-beater" during a game.
8 Toronto - JO is done... bosh becomes 1st team, but his legs give after long offseason... calderon proves to be overrated... anthony parker is white.

Western Conference (Regular Season)
1 LA - good regular season team, that will struggle in the playoffs... year end kobe will look as worn down as a hotel receptionist in denver
2 Utah - consistent... a weak division... okur comes back... no punchlines allowed in utah... jerry sloan is knows more about basketball than me.
3 N.O. - perhaps the best team in basketball... and the player that will distinguish himself as the best team player in basketball... espn the mag, stop it, your cover is foolish.
4 SA - its an odd year... they will cruise... find themselves playing NO in the conf finals... bowen will be suspended for tripping the phx suns gorilla during intermission dunk
5 PHX - who said old was bad... finds their grove second half... only to be swept in 1st round... gorilla eats bruce bowens children... a worthy consolation to depressed city of phoenix
6 HOU - over-rated.
7 POR - talk to me in 2 years... brandon roy leads a young squad whose future is the envy of every fan... midseason deal for vet back court could make the future the present.
8 Denver - the most dangerous team in basketball... to their opponents and themselves... motivated by miami to defende blunt rolling crown.

DEF - Garnett - best team defender in the game, best against p&r, incredible 1on1, dominates glass... there really isnt a competition
MIP - Tyrus Thomas - minutes may be a struggle, eventually it will click
6man - Rodney Stuckey - dirrrrrty... should come close to 30 minutes a game... will put up 15/4/4 if not better.
ROY - Beasley - the numbers will be too obvious to ignore... 18/7 a probability
COY - Who Cares? Curry - I really like Detroit this year.
MVP - Paul - (if only because everyone and their mother will incorrectly pick Lebron...


1st Team all NBA
PG - Paul
SG - Kobe
SF - Lebron
PF - Garnett
C - Howard

Western Conf -

New Orleans over SA

Eastern Conf -

Boston over Detroit

NBA Champion -

Boston Celtics

Until soon... someone refresh my scotch...

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